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Israel Adesanya Breakdown
Adesanya comes into this battle with plenty of benefits over the much smaller Gastelum, who’s giving up almost 9 inches of reach. On the feet it is the technical accumulation strategy of Adesanya which will give him a significant edge. He’s got a much more diverse arsenal with effective leg kicks a strong choice against Kelvin, that will need to stay explosive to have any hope closing the striking distance. Defensively Adesanya is solid, rolling with punches rather than committing himself to be vulnerable to counter shots. He’s a slow starter but turns up the volume once he has a stronger feel for his opponent.
Gastelum has fast boxing mixtures and has utilized this to score some impressive finishes. The standard of Kelvin’s opposition is questionable with lots of elderly fighters crumbling after getting captured by his superior cardio or speed. Gastelum includes a wrestling foundation but hasn’t made a focus of the UFC run. In this fight the dimensions and takedown protection of Adesanya should signify this stays standing. Kelvin has limited paths to success beyond landing a flush KO shot and given the advantage and protection of Adesanya that does seem unlikely.
Since going around Middleweight Gastelum has managed to be remarkable despite his height and reach. Weidman revealed us that size may be a large element where the older fighters of this branch were unable to press the advantage. Adesanya should be able to control this battle to stay standing, where he will have the ability to style on Gastelum from range. Round one can be close but beyond that it’s going to be just one way traffic. A late end or comfortable decision appear equally likely.Dustin Poirier Breakdown
These men struggle in what should be a very competitive fight. Both guys favour their striking with Holloway’s volume style taking on Poirier’s technical principles together with surprising power. The people appear to be over Holloway following his impressive Ortega triumph and thus the bookie has him lined a significant favorite. While his boxing and boxing is unmatched at 145lb, it might be a different story here. Poirier hits very difficult, with considerably more energy than anything Max might have experienced in recent times. When there was a weakness Holloway’s match it is that he takes a lot of blank shots, and there is no reason a crisp one from Poirier can’t finish the struggle.
This fight is likely to start off in Poirier’s favour as he lands the more impacting shots and makes use of his reach advantage. Holloway will have to survive until the later rounds in an effort to conquer Poirier with his cardio and pace. Dustin is no slouch in this region and is extremely tough to put himself away. We view this as an early stoppage for Poirier or close decision headed into the judges. The middle rounds will be pivotal in deciding the winner. In +180 the value is clear, back the dangerous fighter that has firmly established himself on top of their toughest division in the game.
Bet = Poirier at 2.80 (+180) chances. Risk 4 Units to win 7.2 Units.
Eryk Anders Breakdown
Rountree is a dangerous striker, both fast and powerful, but his one dimensional gameplan makes him quite beatable. Of most concern is his gasoline tank which is quickly depleted as he spams power shots . Furthermore his wrestling and grappling is below average. Rountree is coming from a big KO loss to Johnny Walker.
Anders is quite durable and has a fundamental but dangerous striking style himself. The key to success is going to be his exceptional pressure as he can mix in takedowns to put on Rountree out, negating his power. Rountree is stuck at the bottom of the rankings in contrast to Anders who recently had aggressive match with the title challenger Santos. Look for him to survive some early scares to then execute his wrestling and then take over the fight beyond round one.
Bet = Anders at 1.54 (-185) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 1.62 Units.
Alan Jouban Breakdown
Jouban comes into this fight with much more expertise but also a 5??? attain drawback. Grant is 34 years of age and unlikely to make massive strides in his entire game. He does not look very impressive with sloppy technique but does have big capability to land the kill shot. Jouban’s durability is an issue but he is the much superior fighter. Start looking for him to deliver a wise game-plan to this one and utilize his superior arsenal to out strike Grant. Jouban has sneaky power himself but a choice is also probably. .
Bet = Jouban in 2.0 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.0 Units.
Max Griffin Breakdown
Imadaev is very unproven and at only 24 years of age has been winning against poor resistance on the regional landscape. He appears to be getting a great deal of respect from the odds makers, possibly due to his Russian background. This is a large step upward against Max Griffin who’s a demanding UFC veteran. He brings strong boxing and power and can mix in the odd takedown when required. Griffin’s question mark is surely his strength, as he has rocked in most fights, but he’s a fighters mentality for coming back from hardship. Imadaev could be the real deal in which case that is very likely to be an action packed affair. Otherwise search for Griffin to box the inexperienced newcomer. At slight underdog chances we like a bet on the more proven fighter.
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